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"刚起完车就下雨," }, { "start": 13.22, "end": 14.54, "text": "爱情里刚憧憬未来," }, { "start": 14.74, "end": 16.04, "text": "恋情就急转直下," }, { "start": 16.12, "end": 17.86, "text": "生活中当你越是爱一个人," }, { "start": 17.9, "end": 19.0, "text": "越容易失去对方," }, { "start": 19.06, "end": 21.08, "text": "莫菲定律是一种心理学效应," }, { "start": 21.14, "end": 22.5, "text": "由爱的话莫菲提出," }, { "start": 22.6, "end": 25.12, "text": "其主要的内容是﹐1﹐任何事都没有表" }, { "start": 25.12, "end": 27.6, "text": "面看起来那么简单﹐2﹐所有的事情都会" }, { "start": 27.6, "end": 30.12, "text": "比你预计的时间长﹐3﹐会出错的" }, { "start": 30.12, "end": 32.84, "text": "事总会出错﹐4﹐如果你担心某种情况" }, { "start": 32.84, "end": 33.26, "text": "发生," }, { "start": 33.38, "end": 36.22, "text": "那么它就更可能发生﹐莫菲定律的原句是" }, { "start": 36.22, "end": 38.84, "text": "这样的﹐如果有两种或两种以上的方法" }, { "start": 38.84, "end": 39.9, "text": "去做某件事情," }, { "start": 40.02, "end": 42.36, "text": "其中一种选择方式将导致灾难," }, { "start": 42.44, "end": 44.98, "text": "但必定有人会做出这种选择﹐莫菲" }, { "start": 44.98, "end": 47.48, "text": "定律的根本内容是﹐如果有事情变坏," }, { "start": 47.56, "end": 49.02, "text": "不管这种可能性有多小," }, { "start": 49.06, "end": 49.92, "text": "它都会发生。" }, { "start": 49.92, "end": 50.72, "text": "在德普中," }, { "start": 50.96, "end": 52.34, "text": "比如在潮湿的翻盘面下," }, { "start": 52.48, "end": 53.56, "text": "你手势顶对顶梯," }, { "start": 53.64, "end": 55.2, "text": "怕对方听话﹐如果你败," }, { "start": 55.36, "end": 56.14, "text": "对方防守," }, { "start": 56.2, "end": 57.42, "text": "转牌真的掉出铜花," }, { "start": 57.48, "end": 58.58, "text": "你会懊恼烦躁," }, { "start": 58.72, "end": 61.24, "text": "进而越打越差﹐这就是莫菲定律的影响﹐" }, { "start": 61.24, "end": 62.04, "text": "但反过来想," }, { "start": 62.16, "end": 64.66, "text": "你也曾击中好运﹐其实每个玩家都经" }, { "start": 64.66, "end": 65.42, "text": "历过badbeat," }, { "start": 65.58, "end": 66.98, "text": "与其纠结它﹐不如啊," }, { "start": 67.02, "end": 69.62, "text": "心平气和地面对规律与概率﹐莫菲定律" }, { "start": 69.62, "end": 70.38, "text": "无数不在," }, { "start": 70.5, "end": 71.76, "text": "牌桌上常见的书家," }, { "start": 71.86, "end": 74.06, "text": "多是不按规律打牌的人﹐德州book的" }, { "start": 74.06, "end": 75.58, "text": "底层规律是数学逻辑," }, { "start": 75.64, "end": 78.14, "text": "本质是零和博弈游戏﹐类似抛硬" }, { "start": 78.14, "end": 78.46, "text": "币," }, { "start": 78.6, "end": 80.44, "text": "才正反的复杂版﹐抛出正面," }, { "start": 80.56, "end": 80.94, "text": "收获1." }, { "start": 81.06, "end": 83.62, "text": "5元﹐反面则可理无收﹐看似划算﹐" }, { "start": 83.62, "end": 85.4, "text": "实则每次平均亏损0." }, { "start": 85.52, "end": 88.06, "text": "25元﹐这在数学上就叫负其忘之" }, { "start": 88.06, "end": 90.74, "text": "﹐也就是负EV﹐短期靠运气可能能赢" }, { "start": 90.74, "end": 93.24, "text": "﹐长期规律下你一定会输﹐但每天在" }, { "start": 93.24, "end": 93.96, "text": "牌桌上啊," }, { "start": 93.96, "end": 96.52, "text": "依然有很多玩家做着负EV的决策﹐他们" }, { "start": 96.52, "end": 99.08, "text": "不想学习规律﹐认为算数太麻烦了﹐觉得" }, { "start": 99.08, "end": 101.7, "text": "德州就是靠运气﹐然后吵帅的把积" }, { "start": 101.7, "end": 102.78, "text": "分抛出﹐要知道," }, { "start": 102.94, "end": 103.5, "text": "天地不仁," }, { "start": 103.58, "end": 105.34, "text": "以万物为出口﹐不尊重规律," }, { "start": 105.42, "end": 107.92, "text": "就会被懂规律的玩家引走积分﹐这种" }, { "start": 107.92, "end": 108.32, "text": "人啊," }, { "start": 108.38, "end": 110.96, "text": "我劝你少打德普﹐如果你想征服这个游戏" }, { "start": 110.96, "end": 113.72, "text": "﹐需要先学习知识﹐尊重规律﹐老话说," }, { "start": 113.86, "end": 114.34, "text": "近人事," }, { "start": 114.48, "end": 115.7, "text": "听天命﹐做好准备," }, { "start": 115.82, "end": 118.38, "text": "是提高胜算的前提﹐不少玩家总抱怨" }, { "start": 118.38, "end": 121.02, "text": "环境﹐运气﹐总是不做功课﹐却幻想" }, { "start": 121.02, "end": 122.86, "text": "胜利﹐这才是真正的GAMBLING﹐" }, { "start": 122.86, "end": 125.44, "text": "博弈的关键是态度﹐尊重学习﹐运用" }, { "start": 125.44, "end": 128.06, "text": "规律﹐剩下的交给概率﹐这才是德" }, { "start": 128.06, "end": 129.5, "text": "州扑克教会我们的道理" } ] }